I love the chalk in the NFL this weekend. Here's a quick look at Saturday's games.

Houston -4 vs. Cincinnati

All signs point to the Bengals winners of seven of their last eight while the Texans lost three of their last four. Also Cincinnati has proven to be a solid road team going 6-2 away from home, including a must-win game in Pittsburgh in week 16.

But I'm not sold on Andy Dalton. I don't see the Bengals putting up more than 17 in this one and that won't be enough. As great as Geno Atkins has been this year, I see Arian Foster having a big day. Texans 27-17.

Here's are five things to watch for if the Texans are going to win. Here a look at how good the Bengals D has been in the second half of the season.

Green Bay -7.5 vs. Minnesota

Minnesota played as well as they could play last weekend in a must-win game against the Pack. They got it done on a last second FG by rookie phenom Blair Walsh (first time a kicker has ever been called a phenom?). The Vikings are 0-3 straight up when All Day has rushed for over 100 yards in Lambeau. What that means is it is going to fall on the shoulders of Christian Ponder. Not what you want as a Vikings fan. The Packers wide outs are healthy. Look for a monster day from Aaron Rodgers and an easy win for the Pack. 34-13.

Five things from the Packers.

What it's like to be a Vikings fan. At least Christian Ponder can enjoy this in the offseason.

If you are tuning in to Pitt's annual trip to the BBVA Compass Bowl vs. Ole Miss today, you'll see they will be without starting running back Ray Graham. No matter. Take the Panters +4 and look for an outright win.